Finante-Banci
ING: Deficitul bugetar ar putea ajunge la 8,5-9% din PIB in 2009
Deficitul bugetar poate sa ajunga la 8,5-9% din produsul intern brut (PIB) in acest an, astfel ca reducerea acestuia la 5,9% in 2010 pare nerealista si sensibila la revizuiri, ceea ce ar duce la masuri dure in prima parte a anului viitor, potrivit unui raport ING Bank.
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„Avand in vedere riscurile semnificative ca deficitul bugetar sa ajunga la 8,5-9% din PIB in 2009, orice buget pe 2010 realizat prin reducerea cheltuielilor, astfel incat deficitul sa scada la 5,9% de la 7,3% din PIB, pare nerealist si sensibil la revizuri”, se arata in raport.
FMI ar putea sa nu ia in considerare un astfel de scenariu, pana la sfarsitul acestui an, in incercarea de a trimite un mesaj pozitiv pietelor. Prin urmare, este destul de probabil ca la inceputul anului 2010 sa fie luate masuri dure daca FMI va mentine tinta de 5,9% din PIB, se arata in raport.
Analistii ING considera ca FMI ar putea avea, din nou, o abordare mai permisiva fata de Romania.
Acestia se asteapta ca FMI sa aprobe bugetul pe 2010 inainte de 15 decembrie.
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