Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen: Contractie a PIB de 4% in 2009, curs de 3,8 lei/euro in 2010
Economia locala s-ar putea contracta cu 4% in 2009, anul viitor urmand sa reintre insa pe crestere, cu o majorare de 1,5%, au spus analistii Raiffeisen Bank Romania, in raportul pentru luna mai realizat asupra pietei locale.
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Potrivit analistilor bancari, cursul de schimb ar urma sa fie la sfarsitul anului de 4,1 lei/euro, iar la sfarsitul lui 2010 de 3,8 lei/euro.
Reprezentantii Raiffeisen estimeaza ca inflatia va fi la finele anului de 4,5% (fata de 6,3% anul trecut), ceea ce ar insemna ca in 2009, Banca Nationala va atinge tinta de inflatie fixata pentru anul in curs, de 3,5%, plus minus un punct procentual.
Pentru finele lui 2010, analistii bancari mizeaza pe o valoare a indicelui de 4%.
In ceea ce priveste deficitul bugetar, acesta va ajunge la finele anului la un nivel de 5,5% din produsul intern brut (PIB), considera analistii bancari.
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