Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen crede ca economia a reintrat pe scadere in T3: Minus de 1,5% fata de trimestrul doi
PIB-ul a scazut in al treilea trimestru al anului cu circa 1,5% fata de T2, din cauza evolutiilor slabe din industrie, constructii si retail din ultimele luni, estimeaza analistii Raiffeisen Bank.
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Astfel, productia industriala s-a stabilizat in august dupa o scadere de 1% in iulie. Totodata, constructiile au scazut cu 1,3% in august dupa ce se prabusisera cu circa 27,6% in iulie, iar vanzarile retail au crescut cu 5,3% in august, dupa o scadere cu 10% in luna anterioara.
Luand in calcul toate aceste evolutii cumulate, analistii Raiffeisen estimeaza ca economia a inregistrat o scadere de 1,5% in trimestrul trei fata de T2. Acestia atrag atentia insa ca o surpriza placuta ar putea veni din partea agriculturii, care ar putea conduce la un rezultat economic mai bun.
In al doilea trimestru economia a crescut cu 0,3% fata de T1, aceasta fiind prima evolutie pozitiva a PIB de la inceputul crizei.
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