Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen: Probabilitatea ca recesiunea sa continue in Romania a scazut. E posibila o crestere in T4
Datele recente privind evolutia PIB, care indica o scadere de 0,7% in al treilea trimestru fata de T2, ne transmit ca probabilitatea de a asista la o contractie suplimentara a economiei a scazut, dar nu ne putem astepta nici la o revenire puternica, potrivit analistilor Raiffeisen Bank Romania.
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In ultimul trimestru al anului PIB-ul ar putea stationa sau chiar creste usor, sunt de parere acestia.
Datele prezentate recent de Institutul National de Statistica privind evolutia PIB in T3 indica faptul ca atat consumul gospodariilor, cat si cel de la nivelul autoritatilor publice, a scazut mai putin decat estimarile analistilor. Totodata, stocurile au continuat sa creasca rapid, consolidand astfel trendul din lunile anterioare.
Datele indica faptul ca probabilitatea ca recesiunea sa continue a scazut, insa nu exista motive sa credem ca va urma o revenire puternica, considera reprezentantii Raiffeisen Bank.
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